Why AI Won’t Solve All Our Problems: The Blind Spots of the AI Boom
- owenwhite
- Sep 8, 2024
- 6 min read
Updated: Sep 28, 2024
By now, you’ve probably heard it a thousand times: Artificial Intelligence is going to revolutionise everything. It’s going to fix climate change, end global poverty, cure diseases, and even reshape the future of work. Enthusiasts of AI—people like Mustafa Suleyman of Microsoft AI and Demis Hassabis of Google DeepMind—paint a picture of a future where sophisticated algorithms crunch through data and produce solutions to humanity’s biggest challenges. It sounds promising, even exciting.
But there’s a blind spot in this grand vision. While AI is undoubtedly a powerful tool, it’s not the magic bullet that many of its advocates believe it to be. The claims about AI’s potential are often rooted in a particular way of thinking about problems—one that treats them as technical challenges. According to this view, if you gather enough data, deploy enough computational power, and develop smart enough algorithms, you can solve anything. However, many of the world’s biggest challenges—climate change, healthcare, economic instability—are not just technical problems. They’re complex problems, and treating them as solvable by pure technology overlooks crucial social, ethical, and political factors. This isn’t to say AI isn’t valuable. But the boosters pushing AI as the ultimate solution are overlooking something critical: the complexity of the problems we face.
The AI Enthusiasts' Positivist View of the World
The vision of AI that’s so often sold to us fits squarely into what philosophers and scientists call the positivist paradigm. This view of science is deeply rooted in the idea that the world can be understood and controlled through observation, measurement, and technical solutions. It’s a model of thinking that has been enormously successful in fields like physics and engineering, where problems can be reduced to a set of variables that, once understood, can be controlled.
For AI enthusiasts, the world’s biggest problems seem to fit this same mold. Climate change? Let’s get AI to analyze massive amounts of climate data and suggest technical interventions like carbon capture or geoengineering. Healthcare? AI can process medical records, diagnose diseases faster than doctors, and design new treatments. Economic instability? AI models can help governments predict financial downturns and optimize fiscal policy.
In each case, the problem is framed as one of insufficient information and computational power. And AI is presented as the tool to gather, process, and optimize that information in a way humans never could. It’s a deeply seductive narrative, especially in a world hungry for solutions. But it’s also a narrow one.
The Limits of Seeing the World as a Technical Problem
The problem with this way of thinking is that it underestimates the true complexity of the issues at hand. Take climate change, for example. Yes, it’s about the physical science of greenhouse gases and the warming planet, but it’s also about political power, economic interests, social behavior, and ethical dilemmas. Different countries have different incentives to act—or not act—on climate change. Some are far more responsible for the crisis than others, and some stand to suffer much more from its impacts. These aren’t problems that can be solved by more data or faster algorithms.
To treat climate change—or any similarly large-scale issue—as merely a technical challenge is to ignore the complexity of human systems. It’s not just a question of figuring out the right answer; it’s a question of balancing competing interests, navigating political landscapes, and dealing with unintended consequences. No matter how advanced AI becomes, it won’t be able to resolve these human factors on its own.
Dave Snowden, a Welsh scholar known for his work on complexity theory, offers an important framework for understanding this distinction. He differentiates between simple, complicated, and complex problems. Simple problems are those with clear cause-and-effect relationships, like following a recipe. Complicated problems are harder, but still solvable with enough expertise, like sending a rocket to the moon. Complex problems, however, involve so many interdependent factors that they resist straightforward solutions. The best you can do is probe, experiment, and adapt as you go.
AI advocates often treat the world’s biggest challenges as if they were complicated problems, solvable by technical expertise alone. But in reality, they’re complex problems that require an approach beyond pure technology—one that accounts for the messiness and unpredictability of human systems.
The Rise of Complexity Science
Over the last few decades, many scientists have recognised that the positivist model of science is not enough when it comes to complex systems like ecosystems, social networks, or economies. Complexity science, a field that has emerged to study these kinds of systems, teaches us that problems involving many interdependent parts—like climate change, pandemics, or global financial systems—can’t be reduced to a set of variables and solved through technical fixes. These systems often exhibit emergent behaviour, meaning that small changes can have unpredictable, large-scale effects. They are characterised by feedback loops, tipping points, and nonlinear relationships, making them inherently difficult to predict or control.
In fields like ecology or climate science, researchers have long been aware of the limitations of purely technical solutions. For example, in climate models, while it’s possible to make predictions about how temperature might change under certain conditions, it’s much harder to predict how human societies will respond to these changes. Will governments act in time? Will populations migrate en masse? Will technological solutions to climate change create new, unintended problems?
AI, for all its computational power, operates within a certain set of parameters: it can process data, recognize patterns, and optimize solutions, but only within the frameworks and assumptions it’s been given. In complex systems, where social, ethical, and political factors play a huge role, these assumptions are often too narrow to account for the full picture. AI can tell you how the climate might respond to carbon reductions, but it can’t predict how industries will react to new regulations or how political coalitions will form—or break apart—based on climate policy.
The Role of AI in a Complex World
None of this is to suggest that AI is useless in addressing the world’s big challenges. Far from it. AI can and will play an important role in helping us navigate complexity—but it won’t be the sole solution.
For example, AI can help optimize energy systems, improve efficiency in resource use, or provide better models for understanding climate trends. It can assist healthcare professionals by analyzing vast amounts of data to identify patterns that might be invisible to human doctors. And in finance, AI can help governments and institutions better understand and predict economic trends, offering insights that might help mitigate crises.
But these are tools, not solutions. AI can provide better information, but it can’t make the difficult, value-laden decisions that are necessary to tackle the world’s most complex problems. It can optimize certain processes, but it can’t resolve the political, ethical, and social conflicts that come with them.
To truly address challenges like climate change or healthcare inequality, we need to acknowledge the limits of technology. These are complex problems that require cooperation between governments, industries, and civil society. They demand ethical considerations about fairness, justice, and the distribution of resources. And they require an understanding that technical solutions alone can’t resolve issues that are as much about human behaviour and values as they are about data.
The Real Challenge: Balancing Technology with Humanity
The next time you hear someone claim that AI will solve climate change, or transform the economy, it’s worth asking: Are they treating these problems as purely technical challenges? If so, they’re likely missing the bigger picture.
AI will undoubtedly play an important role in the future, but the idea that it can single-handedly “solve” the world’s most complex challenges is unrealistic. These are problems that require more than just technical solutions; they require us to grapple with the messy, unpredictable, and deeply human nature of the world we live in.
AI is a powerful tool, but it’s no substitute for the difficult work of understanding—and navigating—complex systems. It’s time we stopped thinking of AI as the ultimate problem-solver and started recognising it for what it is: one tool among many in the quest to make the world a better, more sustainable place. To do otherwise is to fall into the same trap that has haunted traditional science for decades: the belief that with enough knowledge, we can control and predict everything. In reality, the world is far messier than that—and AI, no matter how advanced, won’t change that fact.



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